Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 1:00 PM, 244 voters in 30 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 192,929 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 175,995 - 218,983). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.
NOTE: There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in the data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included in the above count. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 1:00 PM | 2870 |
c(2.5% = 2495)
|
c(97.5% = 3297)
|
| 02 | 1:00 PM | 4565 |
c(2.5% = 3951)
|
c(97.5% = 5224)
|
| 03 | 1:00 PM | 2452 |
c(2.5% = 2196)
|
c(97.5% = 2991)
|
| 04 | 1:00 PM | 2424 |
c(2.5% = 2149)
|
c(97.5% = 2856)
|
| 05 | 1:00 PM | 6659 |
c(2.5% = 5855)
|
c(97.5% = 7703)
|
| 06 | 1:00 PM | 1673 |
c(2.5% = 1527)
|
c(97.5% = 2063)
|
| 07 | 1:00 PM | 1501 |
c(2.5% = 1117)
|
c(97.5% = 2005)
|
| 08 | 1:00 PM | 6203 |
c(2.5% = 5515)
|
c(97.5% = 7219)
|
| 09 | 1:00 PM | 2916 |
c(2.5% = 2608)
|
c(97.5% = 3549)
|
| 10 | 1:00 PM | 3575 |
c(2.5% = 3267)
|
c(97.5% = 4625)
|
| 11 | 1:00 PM | 1529 |
c(2.5% = 1343)
|
c(97.5% = 1833)
|
| 12 | 1:00 PM | 2683 |
c(2.5% = 2412)
|
c(97.5% = 3289)
|
| 13 | 1:00 PM | 2400 |
c(2.5% = 2142)
|
c(97.5% = 2924)
|
| 14 | 1:00 PM | 1087 |
c(2.5% = 997)
|
c(97.5% = 1319)
|
| 15 | 1:00 PM | 3243 |
c(2.5% = 2864)
|
c(97.5% = 3863)
|
| 16 | 1:00 PM | 1268 |
c(2.5% = 1093)
|
c(97.5% = 1506)
|
| 17 | 1:00 PM | 2963 |
c(2.5% = 2649)
|
c(97.5% = 3609)
|
| 18 | 1:00 PM | 2810 |
c(2.5% = 2544)
|
c(97.5% = 3216)
|
| 19 | 1:00 PM | 1145 |
c(2.5% = 908)
|
c(97.5% = 1470)
|
| 20 | 1:00 PM | 1193 |
c(2.5% = 1009)
|
c(97.5% = 1443)
|
| 21 | 1:00 PM | 7133 |
c(2.5% = 6598)
|
c(97.5% = 8204)
|
| 22 | 1:00 PM | 3917 |
c(2.5% = 3511)
|
c(97.5% = 4807)
|
| 23 | 1:00 PM | 2230 |
c(2.5% = 1961)
|
c(97.5% = 2611)
|
| 24 | 1:00 PM | 1938 |
c(2.5% = 1732)
|
c(97.5% = 2273)
|
| 25 | 1:00 PM | 1825 |
c(2.5% = 1589)
|
c(97.5% = 2173)
|
| 26 | 1:00 PM | 2749 |
c(2.5% = 2449)
|
c(97.5% = 3082)
|
| 27 | 1:00 PM | 3576 |
c(2.5% = 2964)
|
c(97.5% = 4581)
|
| 28 | 1:00 PM | 1349 |
c(2.5% = 1155)
|
c(97.5% = 1608)
|
| 29 | 1:00 PM | 1412 |
c(2.5% = 1270)
|
c(97.5% = 1688)
|
| 30 | 1:00 PM | 2867 |
c(2.5% = 2490)
|
c(97.5% = 3425)
|
| 31 | 1:00 PM | 2531 |
c(2.5% = 2133)
|
c(97.5% = 2827)
|
| 32 | 1:00 PM | 2258 |
c(2.5% = 1941)
|
c(97.5% = 2673)
|
| 33 | 1:00 PM | 1805 |
c(2.5% = 1400)
|
c(97.5% = 2316)
|
| 34 | 1:00 PM | 5150 |
c(2.5% = 4702)
|
c(97.5% = 6305)
|
| 35 | 1:00 PM | 3426 |
c(2.5% = 3022)
|
c(97.5% = 4049)
|
| 36 | 1:00 PM | 4278 |
c(2.5% = 3892)
|
c(97.5% = 4920)
|
| 37 | 1:00 PM | 1439 |
c(2.5% = 1226)
|
c(97.5% = 1721)
|
| 38 | 1:00 PM | 2590 |
c(2.5% = 2372)
|
c(97.5% = 2992)
|
| 39 | 1:00 PM | 5298 |
c(2.5% = 4700)
|
c(97.5% = 6374)
|
| 40 | 1:00 PM | 5356 |
c(2.5% = 4811)
|
c(97.5% = 6227)
|
| 41 | 1:00 PM | 2010 |
c(2.5% = 1745)
|
c(97.5% = 2417)
|
| 42 | 1:00 PM | 2585 |
c(2.5% = 2141)
|
c(97.5% = 3122)
|
| 43 | 1:00 PM | 1968 |
c(2.5% = 1583)
|
c(97.5% = 2454)
|
| 44 | 1:00 PM | 1631 |
c(2.5% = 1447)
|
c(97.5% = 1912)
|
| 45 | 1:00 PM | 2318 |
c(2.5% = 2047)
|
c(97.5% = 2735)
|
| 46 | 1:00 PM | 3262 |
c(2.5% = 3001)
|
c(97.5% = 3923)
|
| 47 | 1:00 PM | 1011 |
c(2.5% = 905)
|
c(97.5% = 1186)
|
| 48 | 1:00 PM | 2381 |
c(2.5% = 2139)
|
c(97.5% = 2749)
|
| 49 | 1:00 PM | 2986 |
c(2.5% = 2636)
|
c(97.5% = 3475)
|
| 50 | 1:00 PM | 4248 |
c(2.5% = 3910)
|
c(97.5% = 5476)
|
| 51 | 1:00 PM | 2663 |
c(2.5% = 2382)
|
c(97.5% = 3262)
|
| 52 | 1:00 PM | 3328 |
c(2.5% = 3040)
|
c(97.5% = 4204)
|
| 53 | 1:00 PM | 2296 |
c(2.5% = 1990)
|
c(97.5% = 2714)
|
| 54 | 1:00 PM | 1624 |
c(2.5% = 1356)
|
c(97.5% = 2026)
|
| 55 | 1:00 PM | 2622 |
c(2.5% = 2293)
|
c(97.5% = 3149)
|
| 56 | 1:00 PM | 3891 |
c(2.5% = 3514)
|
c(97.5% = 4678)
|
| 57 | 1:00 PM | 3435 |
c(2.5% = 3114)
|
c(97.5% = 4037)
|
| 58 | 1:00 PM | 5716 |
c(2.5% = 5159)
|
c(97.5% = 6696)
|
| 59 | 1:00 PM | 2897 |
c(2.5% = 2626)
|
c(97.5% = 3570)
|
| 60 | 1:00 PM | 2290 |
c(2.5% = 2086)
|
c(97.5% = 2817)
|
| 61 | 1:00 PM | 3531 |
c(2.5% = 3162)
|
c(97.5% = 4124)
|
| 62 | 1:00 PM | 2444 |
c(2.5% = 2076)
|
c(97.5% = 2956)
|
| 63 | 1:00 PM | 3283 |
c(2.5% = 3005)
|
c(97.5% = 3905)
|
| 64 | 1:00 PM | 1801 |
c(2.5% = 1608)
|
c(97.5% = 2143)
|
| 65 | 1:00 PM | 2723 |
c(2.5% = 2472)
|
c(97.5% = 3232)
|
| 66 | 1:00 PM | 5703 |
c(2.5% = 5180)
|
c(97.5% = 6586)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:11 AM | 3103 | 151 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
| 11:22 AM | 1503 | 156 |
| 9:02 AM | 0120 | 63 |
| 8:10 AM | 0819 | 60 |
| 11:29 AM | 0213 | 47 |
| 9:15 AM | 0904 | 69 |
| 11:30 AM | 3914 | 140 |
| 11:30 AM | 4920 | 110 |
| 10:00 AM | 3945 | 156 |
| 11:00 AM | 0102 | 111 |
| 11:00 AM | 0108 | 105 |
| 11:00 AM | 0109 | 89 |
| 11:00 AM | 0107 | 54 |
| 11:30 AM | 0833 | 124 |
| 11:00 AM | 0104 | 120 |
| 7:50 AM | 4622 | 31 |
| 11:00 AM | 0105 | 47 |
| 11:30 AM | 1810 | 140 |
| 11:39 AM | 0834 | 106 |
| 11:32 AM | 0116 | 99 |
| 11:43 AM | 0537 | 122 |
| 11:43 AM | 0501 | 99 |
| 11:45 AM | 2702 | 88 |
| 11:40 AM | 4808 | 118 |
| 11:53 AM | 0528 | 194 |
| 11:45 AM | 1815 | 121 |
| 11:45 AM | 1816 | 192 |
| 11:45 AM | 1817 | 193 |
| 11:45 AM | 0217 | 111 |
| 11:50 AM | 3610 | 112 |
| 11:50 AM | 0217 | 112 |
| 12:00 PM | 3637 | 153 |
| 12:00 PM | 3638 | 118 |
| 9:40 AM | 0218 | 88 |
| 12:05 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 9:20 AM | 0803 | 123 |
| 9:22 AM | 0803 | 125 |
| 11:00 AM | 0209 | 104 |
| 7:22 AM | 0506 | 9 |
| 12:01 PM | 0101 | 96 |
| 12:01 PM | 0103 | 164 |
| 12:00 PM | 2125 | 127 |
| 12:01 PM | 0107 | 69 |
| 12:01 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 12:01 PM | 0114 | 128 |
| 12:01 PM | 0115 | 191 |
| 12:01 PM | 0117 | 175 |
| 12:01 PM | 0119 | 166 |
| 12:15 PM | 1503 | 175 |
| 12:01 PM | 0121 | 160 |
| 10:00 AM | 2702 | 65 |
| 12:15 PM | 4903 | 216 |
| 7:01 AM | 1511 | 17 |
| 12:02 PM | 0526 | 182 |
| 12:29 PM | 3103 | 175 |
| 12:29 PM | 3113 | 151 |
| 10:47 AM | 1507 | 1 |
| 12:38 PM | 1716 | 80 |
| 11:00 AM | 6522 | 121 |
| 12:38 PM | 0528 | 208 |
| 12:38 PM | 0528 | 208 |
| 11:00 AM | 0120 | 127 |
| 12:23 PM | 6008 | 80 |
| 7:40 AM | 6509 | 22 |
| 8:00 AM | 4618 | 32 |
| 12:50 PM | 0525 | 121 |
| 12:02 PM | 0831 | 123 |
| 12:30 PM | 3007 | 161 |
| 1:00 PM | 0907 | 127 |
| 1:00 PM | 0908 | 110 |
| 12:30 PM | 5217 | 120 |
| 12:55 PM | 4002 | 146 |
| 7:25 AM | 0532 | 35 |
| 12:40 PM | 0529 | 58 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions