Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 1:00 PM, 244 voters in 30 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 192,929 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 175,995 - 218,983). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in the data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included in the above count. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 1:00 PM 2870 c(2.5% = 2495) c(97.5% = 3297)
02 1:00 PM 4565 c(2.5% = 3951) c(97.5% = 5224)
03 1:00 PM 2452 c(2.5% = 2196) c(97.5% = 2991)
04 1:00 PM 2424 c(2.5% = 2149) c(97.5% = 2856)
05 1:00 PM 6659 c(2.5% = 5855) c(97.5% = 7703)
06 1:00 PM 1673 c(2.5% = 1527) c(97.5% = 2063)
07 1:00 PM 1501 c(2.5% = 1117) c(97.5% = 2005)
08 1:00 PM 6203 c(2.5% = 5515) c(97.5% = 7219)
09 1:00 PM 2916 c(2.5% = 2608) c(97.5% = 3549)
10 1:00 PM 3575 c(2.5% = 3267) c(97.5% = 4625)
11 1:00 PM 1529 c(2.5% = 1343) c(97.5% = 1833)
12 1:00 PM 2683 c(2.5% = 2412) c(97.5% = 3289)
13 1:00 PM 2400 c(2.5% = 2142) c(97.5% = 2924)
14 1:00 PM 1087 c(2.5% = 997) c(97.5% = 1319)
15 1:00 PM 3243 c(2.5% = 2864) c(97.5% = 3863)
16 1:00 PM 1268 c(2.5% = 1093) c(97.5% = 1506)
17 1:00 PM 2963 c(2.5% = 2649) c(97.5% = 3609)
18 1:00 PM 2810 c(2.5% = 2544) c(97.5% = 3216)
19 1:00 PM 1145 c(2.5% = 908) c(97.5% = 1470)
20 1:00 PM 1193 c(2.5% = 1009) c(97.5% = 1443)
21 1:00 PM 7133 c(2.5% = 6598) c(97.5% = 8204)
22 1:00 PM 3917 c(2.5% = 3511) c(97.5% = 4807)
23 1:00 PM 2230 c(2.5% = 1961) c(97.5% = 2611)
24 1:00 PM 1938 c(2.5% = 1732) c(97.5% = 2273)
25 1:00 PM 1825 c(2.5% = 1589) c(97.5% = 2173)
26 1:00 PM 2749 c(2.5% = 2449) c(97.5% = 3082)
27 1:00 PM 3576 c(2.5% = 2964) c(97.5% = 4581)
28 1:00 PM 1349 c(2.5% = 1155) c(97.5% = 1608)
29 1:00 PM 1412 c(2.5% = 1270) c(97.5% = 1688)
30 1:00 PM 2867 c(2.5% = 2490) c(97.5% = 3425)
31 1:00 PM 2531 c(2.5% = 2133) c(97.5% = 2827)
32 1:00 PM 2258 c(2.5% = 1941) c(97.5% = 2673)
33 1:00 PM 1805 c(2.5% = 1400) c(97.5% = 2316)
34 1:00 PM 5150 c(2.5% = 4702) c(97.5% = 6305)
35 1:00 PM 3426 c(2.5% = 3022) c(97.5% = 4049)
36 1:00 PM 4278 c(2.5% = 3892) c(97.5% = 4920)
37 1:00 PM 1439 c(2.5% = 1226) c(97.5% = 1721)
38 1:00 PM 2590 c(2.5% = 2372) c(97.5% = 2992)
39 1:00 PM 5298 c(2.5% = 4700) c(97.5% = 6374)
40 1:00 PM 5356 c(2.5% = 4811) c(97.5% = 6227)
41 1:00 PM 2010 c(2.5% = 1745) c(97.5% = 2417)
42 1:00 PM 2585 c(2.5% = 2141) c(97.5% = 3122)
43 1:00 PM 1968 c(2.5% = 1583) c(97.5% = 2454)
44 1:00 PM 1631 c(2.5% = 1447) c(97.5% = 1912)
45 1:00 PM 2318 c(2.5% = 2047) c(97.5% = 2735)
46 1:00 PM 3262 c(2.5% = 3001) c(97.5% = 3923)
47 1:00 PM 1011 c(2.5% = 905) c(97.5% = 1186)
48 1:00 PM 2381 c(2.5% = 2139) c(97.5% = 2749)
49 1:00 PM 2986 c(2.5% = 2636) c(97.5% = 3475)
50 1:00 PM 4248 c(2.5% = 3910) c(97.5% = 5476)
51 1:00 PM 2663 c(2.5% = 2382) c(97.5% = 3262)
52 1:00 PM 3328 c(2.5% = 3040) c(97.5% = 4204)
53 1:00 PM 2296 c(2.5% = 1990) c(97.5% = 2714)
54 1:00 PM 1624 c(2.5% = 1356) c(97.5% = 2026)
55 1:00 PM 2622 c(2.5% = 2293) c(97.5% = 3149)
56 1:00 PM 3891 c(2.5% = 3514) c(97.5% = 4678)
57 1:00 PM 3435 c(2.5% = 3114) c(97.5% = 4037)
58 1:00 PM 5716 c(2.5% = 5159) c(97.5% = 6696)
59 1:00 PM 2897 c(2.5% = 2626) c(97.5% = 3570)
60 1:00 PM 2290 c(2.5% = 2086) c(97.5% = 2817)
61 1:00 PM 3531 c(2.5% = 3162) c(97.5% = 4124)
62 1:00 PM 2444 c(2.5% = 2076) c(97.5% = 2956)
63 1:00 PM 3283 c(2.5% = 3005) c(97.5% = 3905)
64 1:00 PM 1801 c(2.5% = 1608) c(97.5% = 2143)
65 1:00 PM 2723 c(2.5% = 2472) c(97.5% = 3232)
66 1:00 PM 5703 c(2.5% = 5180) c(97.5% = 6586)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
1:00 PM 0907 127
1:00 PM 0908 110
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions